
The inflation from the oil shock should pass if the war does indeed come to a close. The Fed. would not want to raise rates in this case for fear of over shooting the economic slowdown. I think if anything, it mean we’re not getting any sort of cut until 2027.
But what about the national debt? we owe more this year than we can actually produce. it seems like the market is disconnected from reality.
If they drop the rate, inflation will spike. If they raise the rate, depending on how much, they risk triggering a recession which is inevitable maybe even a depression.


easy no change with the current conflict putting pressure on energy prices. no rate cuts till warsh.
The Feds gonna hold interest rates. They wouldn't budge in the current situation, probably because they don't have a spine and everything is too volatile to know what's going on
